The numbers: Home prices in the 20 biggest U.S. metros rose for the 11th month in a row and hit a record high amid a persistent shortage of resale homes for sale.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city house price index rose 0.2% in December compared to the previous month.
Home prices in the 20 major U.S. metro markets were up 6.1% in the last 12 months ending in December.
A broader measure of home prices, the national index, rose 0.2% in December and was also up 5.5% over the past year. All numbers are seasonally adjusted.
The 20-city and the national index are at an all-time high.
Key details: San Diego posted the biggest year-over-year home-price gains in December. Prices were up 8.8%.
All 20 major markets reported yearly gains for the first time in 2023, S&P said.
Home prices rose the slowest in Portland, increasing by 0.3%.
Cities | Change from last year |
Atlanta | 6.3% |
Boston | 7.2% |
Charlotte | 8% |
Chicago | 8.1% |
Cleveland | 7.4% |
Dallas | 2.1% |
Denver | 2.3% |
Detroit | 8.3% |
Las Vegas | 4.2% |
Los Angeles | 8.3% |
Miami | 7.8% |
Minneapolis | 2.9% |
New York | 7.6% |
Phoenix | 3.8% |
Portland | 0.3% |
San Diego | 8.8% |
San Francisco | 3.2% |
Seattle | 3% |
Tampa | 4.1% |
Washington | 5.1% |
Composite-20 | 6.1% |
A separate report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency also showed home prices rose 0.1% in December from the last month, and were up 6.6% in the past year.
The FHA also noted that the housing market has experienced annual home price growth every quarter since the start of 2012.
The median price of a resale home was $382,600 in December 2023, and a newly built home was $413,200.
Big picture: Even though rates went to 8% in 2023 and dried up demand, that did not push down home prices significantly, per the Case-Shiller index. However early analysis of the data indicates that some markets are seeing home price declines.
But with the 30-year dropping below 7% in December, home prices may see a boost as demand picks up. And with a persistent and severe shortage of homes for sale, home prices could be pressured upwards again.
What S&P said: “Looking back at the year, 2023 appears to have exceeded average annual home price gains over the past 35 years,” Brian D. Luke, head of commodities, real & digital assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said in a statement.
“While we are not experiencing the double-digit gains seen in the previous two years, above-trend growth should be well received considering the rising costs of financing home mortgages,” he added.
And the company said it was able to see the early impact of higher rates on home prices. “Increased financing costs appeared to precipitate home price declines in the fourth quarter, as 15 markets saw lower values compared to September,” Luke noted.
HSBC’s global banking and markets unit jumped 8% last year as the UK lender increased fees from dealmaking and maintained trading revenue in most asset classes.
The UK lender posted revenue of $16.1bn for its global banking and markets unit last year, according to its annual accounts. Fees from capital markets and M&A work surged 36%, with HSBC’s investment bank benefiting from a resurgence in debt underwriting revenue.
HSBC’s pre-tax profit of $30.3bn for 2023 was a record for the bank and an increase of 78%, but still below the $34bn expected by analysts. In a statement, chief executive Noel Quinn said that the results “reflected four years of hard work and the strength of our balance sheet in a higher interest rate environment.”
HSBC finished 16th in the investment banking fee league tables last year, according to data provider Dealogic, with 1.3% share of the market. This is up from 17th a year earlier.
The UK lender’s markets and securities services business posted revenue of $9bn, which was largely in line with 2022. However, equity trading fees of $552m were nearly half of the $1bn it earned in the unit in 2022.
HSBC’s GBM business dipped 4% in the final quarter of the year to $3.7bn.
READ HSBC hikes bonuses to $771,700 for its top investment bankers
HSBC has bolstered its UK investment bank over the past year, hiring two senior dealmakers for corporate broking in July, but faces stiff competition from Barclays, which is aiming to consolidate its first place finish in the UK dealmaking fee league tables last year. In recent months, hires within its investment bank have focused on its core markets of China and the Middle East.
Investment banks have struggled against an ongoing drought in deals, with Wall Street banks and Europeans alike posting sharp declines in M&A fees in 2023. UK rival Barclays unveiled a 12% decline in investment banking fees for 2023, led by a 23% slump in revenue from M&A work.
Barclays also unveiled its first investor day since 2014, separating its business into five key units including separating its investment bank from its corporate bank. While the UK lender will look to reduce its reliance on its investment bank, it is not pulling back and within its dealmaking team intends to shift the balance away from debt underwriting to do more M&A and equity capital markets work.
Deutsche Bank’s origination and advisory business was up by 25% in 2023, buoyed by a rebound in debt capital markets activity as its M&A unit slipped 25%. A hiring spree of 50 managing directors at the German lender last year aims to shift the balance of its investment bank towards more M&A and equity capital markets work.
To contact the author of this story with feedback or news, email Paul Clarke
The biggest Wall Street banks cut 30,000 jobs last year, kicked off by Goldman Sachs who informed its staff of plans to make its deepest reductions since the 2008 financial crisis shortly after Christmas 2022.
Goldman’s 3,200 job cuts were swiftly followed by 3,500 at Morgan Stanley, and then 5,000 at Citigroup. Bank of America refrained from deep redundancies, but 4,000 employees departed regardless through its ‘natural attrition’ approach last year.
With the exception of Credit Suisse, which started cutting thousands of roles before being acquired by its biggest rival UBS in March, European banks refrained from deep redundancies last year.
Times have changed.
Whether it’s an attempt to revive a flagging share price, free up funds for buybacks, the march of technology, strategic overhauls or simply reining in costs, top European banks are cutting jobs and reducing bonuses for those that remain.
READ ‘Doughnuts’ loom: Bankers brace for brutal bonus season
“It’s a balancing act for a lot of European banks, particularly after two years of poor performance for investment banking. There’s only so long you can keep paying expensive talent in the hope that revenue will recover,” said Gary Greenwood, a bank analyst at Shore Capital.
Barclays is expected to unveil a strategic overhaul alongside its annual results on 20 February, with the UK lender looking to save £1.25bn in costs. So far, job cuts have mainly hit support functions. Deutsche Bank said that 3,500 jobs will go over the next year, largely in back office functions, as it looks to save €2.5bn after headcount swelled 6% in 2023.
Societe Generale is cutting 900 jobs within its Paris headquarters as part of new CEO Slawomir Krupa’s plans to pull back on costs, while UBS has earmarked around $6.5bn in employee expenses to be stripped out as it integrates Credit Suisse.
On a smaller scale, Rothschild cut around 10 investment banking jobs in January, with former Goldman dealmaker John Brennan departing.
“The US banks are much more reactive in terms of cutting headcount than their European counterparts,” said Stephane Rambosson, co-founder of headhunters Vici Advisory. “European banks are now focused on costs, but each case is specific to their circumstances rather than market conditions. Wall Street banks are also quicker to hire again when the tide turns.”
As well as job cuts, bankers are enduring another brutal bonus round. There is widespread disgruntlement at UBS as the bank spread an already small pool around its existing employees, the influx of Credit Suisse staff and a flurry of senior Barclays dealmakers brought in last year on guarantees, according to bankers.
Barclays has handed zero bonuses to up to a third of dealmakers in some units, bankers told Financial News, with Bloomberg previously reporting that “dozens” of employees were set for doughnuts this year. Deutsche Bank, which also has to digest an expensive hiring spree and its £410m acquisition of City broker Numis, is also set to reduce bonus payments.
READ Investment banks face talent crunch even after deep job cuts
“We have observed a similar, but even more aggressive, trend with the European banks regarding layoffs and bonus pool reductions,” said Chris Connors of Wall Street compensation consultants Johnson Associates. “The European banks have struggled to keep pace with their American counterparts on business results and compensation. From the employee perspective, we anticipate European bankers to be similarly disappointed to US bankers given the muted results in advisory and other units such as underwriting, which are still well below 2021 levels.”
While US banks cut dozens of dealmakers last year, some European players took advantage of the dislocation. Deutsche hired 50 senior bankers, while Santander picked up dealmakers from both the fallout from Credit Suisse’s takeover and from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
Most cuts so far at European banks have focused on management or back office functions, and there’s little suggestion that deep investment banker redundancies are on the cards, particularly as banks prepare for a revival in dealmaking activity after a near two-year lull. However, headhunters told FN that many banks were taking a much more cautious approach about bringing in senior talent.
During its fourth quarter earnings call, Deutsche Bank chief executive, Christian Sewing said that the bank had “positioned ourselves for a recovery in origination and advisory” after its hiring spree. “Now, this is where we see considerable growth potential,” he added.
“Investment banking is a people business, so banks will be reluctant to let too much talent depart,” added Greenwood. “This could change — a recovery is possible, but there are still a lot of risks in the market.”
To contact the author of this story with feedback or news, email Paul Clarke
Financial services firms have been cutting jobs for the past year, with no signs of letting up.
Banks, asset managers and consultancies have all cut swathes of jobs in recent months.
City jobs dried up in the last quarter of 2023, with the number of available financial services roles falling 42% compared with the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Morgan McKinley’s London Employment Monitor.
During the post-pandemic deal boom many major finance firms went on hiring sprees, which left them overstaffed, and a slower job market has meant that fewer of those staff moved on.
READ Bankers, lawyers and accountants won’t quit, stoking fears of more job cuts
Morgan Stanley and PwC both pointed to lower staff attrition rates as part of their motivation for cutting jobs.
Banks have been characteristically brutal in their job cuts, and major disruption such as the merger of UBS with Credit Suisse and Citigroup’s radical overhaul are set to lead to thousands of roles going.
In recent months banks have been followed by asset managers, which are shedding jobs in a tough climate for active fund houses too.
Consultancy and accountancy firms have also cut thousands of jobs as demand for deal advice dries up in a slower market.
These are the banks, consultancy firms and asset managers cutting jobs:
Banks
UBS expects half of planned $13bn cost-cuts to come from employees
UBS rolls out fresh layoffs as Credit Suisse integration continues
Citigroup to cut 20,000 roles in Jane Fraser’s radical overhaul
Citigroup offers generous redundancy package to laid-off UK bankers
Barclays cut 5,000 jobs last year in cost-reduction push
Deutsche Bank to cut 3,500 more jobs in cost-cutting push
Nomura cuts 60 investment bank jobs in difficult dealmaking conditions
Societe Generale to axe 900 jobs in France
Rothschild-owned Redburn Atlantic cuts 20 staff amid UK equity drought
Asset managers
BlackRock to cull 600 jobs as it eyes ‘opportunities for growth’
Abrdn outflows top £12bn as group prepares to cut 500 jobs
Baillie Gifford to cut jobs after fixed income overhaul
Consultancy
EY launches fresh round of UK job cuts
EY is laying off US partners amid tough economic conditions
Deloitte UK to axe 100 jobs amid slow deals market
To contact the author of this story with feedback or news, email James Booth
New York Community Bancorp Inc. has been looking to shed problem commercial real estate from its books after last week reporting a surprising $185 million loss relating to a pair of loans as part of its fourth-quarter earnings results.
The lender has offered investors a chance to bid on a $22.4 million mortgage backed by three five-story walk-up apartment buildings in Washington Heights, a neighborhood in northern Manhattan, according to details of the offering viewed by MarketWatch.
The debt backs mostly rent-regulated apartments and affiliated mixed-use space. The mortgage matured in early January, with the full amount of the debt now due, plus interest at a 20% default rate, according to the offering.
Other landlords in the neighborhood who are subject to New York City’s rent-regulation laws, which were strengthened in 2019, have seen property values tumble by an estimated 50%, according to Bloomberg News.
New York Community Bancorp
NYCB
didn’t respond to requests for comment for this article.
Efforts by the bank to tackle its exposure to problem real-estate loans come as its stock has dropped by more than 60% so far this year.
The lender has a large exposure to rent-regulated multifamily properties in New York City, about a $1.8 billion office-building exposure in the city and about $250 million to $300 million in maturities in the next few years, according to Deutsche Bank researchers.
Pressures facing the bank are reigniting fears about regional banks and their commercial real-estate exposure. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told lawmakers on Tuesday that she was concerned about U.S. commercial real estate, saying that some institutions could be “quite stressed,” while also saying the challenge looks manageable.
Landlords have been reeling from slumping property prices and higher borrowing costs since the Federal Reserve in 2022 began dramatically raising interest rates to quell high inflation.
Many regional banks have responded by trying to quietly shed exposure to problem commercial real estate. That activity has picked up since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last March and JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s
JPM
takeover of First Republic Bank, which deeply unsettled markets.
Late Tuesday, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded New York Community Bancorp’s credit by two notches into speculative-grade or “junk” status.
“We took decisive actions to fortify our balance sheet and strengthen our risk management processes during the fourth quarter,” Thomas Cangemi, New York Community Bancorp’s president and chief executive officer, said in a statement following the downgrade.
Cangemi also said that the bank has ample liquidity and has been growing its deposits and that the downgrade wasn’t expected to have a material impact on the lender’s contractual arrangements.
Sales of assets, even at a discount, can sometimes help banks get ahead of greater problems facing the industry, loan buyers said. But they also expect commercial-real-estate lenders to endure a challenging few years, especially as a wall of old debt comes due at a time of higher interest rates.
See: ‘No one is throwing good money after bad.’ Why 2024 looks like trouble for commercial real estate.