
The logo of property developer Shimao Group is seen on the facade of Shimao Tower in Shanghai, China January 13, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights
HONG KONG, Nov 16 (Reuters) – A court auction to sell vast commercial land plots owned by defaulted Shimao Group (0813.HK) in Shenzhen failed for a second time on Thursday as there were no bidders, highlighting weak demand in China’s property market.
Twelve land plots totalling 243,602 square metres, together with some uncompleted buildings on them, have asked for 10.4 billion yuan ($1.4 billion), 20% lower than the 13 billion yuan starting price in the first auction in July, according to e-commerce company JD.com’s (9618.HK) online auction platform.
China’s property sector, which has seen many company defaults since it slipped into a debt crisis in mid-2021, is struggling to stabilise due to a bleak economic outlook.
The Shenzhen plots were part of the land parcel bought by Shanghai-based Shimao in 2017, which planned to build a new landmark complex in China’s tech hub with the city’s tallest skyscraper.
Many of the assets of Shimao, which defaulted its $11.8 billion of offshore debt last July, were being sold to raise funds or were seized by creditors.
Media reports said the land plots, valued at 16.3 billion yuan, were the most valuable assets being auctioned by Chinese courts in seven years.
China’s government land sales revenue and property sales both fell at a faster pace in October, down 25.4% and 20.33% respectively from a year earlier, official data showed this week, suggesting the crisis-hit sector is yet to emerge from its decline despite Beijing’s support efforts.
Authorities have been ramping up measures to support real estate, including relaxing home purchase restrictions and lowering borrowing costs.
($1 = 7.2594 Chinese yuan renminbi)
Reporting by Clare Jim; Editing by Stephen Coates
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Sept 18 (Reuters) – Growth in India’s commercial vehicle sales volume will slow down to low-to-mid-single digits due to rising ownership costs, Fitch Ratings said in a report on Monday.
The ratings agency said increasing regulatory requirements, elevated inflation and high interest rates have pushed up the ownership costs, thereby weighing on purchase decisions.
There was a 34% growth in commercial vehicle sales at nearly 962,000 units in the financial year 2023, up from the 569,000 units sold in fiscal year 2020, according to data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM).
“The 3.3% Y/Y drop in commercial vehicle wholesale volume in the second quarter of FY23 marked the first yearly decline since March 2020,” Fitch said, adding that this was a result of the purchases made ahead of the price hikes by automakers and vehicle availability issues after the adoption of new emission norms.
The latest rules require the measurement of emissions in real time, leading to a near-5% rise in prices of commercial vehicles from April 2023.
“We expect faster volume for medium and heavy commercial vehicles than for light commercial vehicles, due to India’s rising infrastructure activities and the vulnerability of light commercial vehicles to potentially weaker rural demand due to uneven rainfall,” Fitch wrote in the report.
Reporting by Ashna Teresa Britto; Editing by Sohini Goswami
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Nido shut just a few months after it opened in West Auckland. Photo / Michael Craig
Details have emerged about court action involving a crippling $41.4 million loss from a property syndicate-style scheme to fund the failed West Auckland homeware shop Nido which was to be New Zealand’s biggest
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A shopping cart is seen in a Home Depot location in Niles, Illinois, May 19, 2014. REUTERS/Jim Young/File Photo
Aug 15 (Reuters) – Home Depot (HD.N) on Tuesday posted better-than-expected quarterly results, cemented by Americans’ steady spending on small-scale projects around their homes even as they sharply cut back on larger remodeling and renovation.
Shares of the company, which announced a new $15 billion share repurchase program, rose about 1%, with the second quarter benefiting from a recapture of seasonal sales lost earlier this year due to a damp start to Spring.
The top U.S. home-improvement chain’s results come ahead of reports from Walmart (WMT.N) and Target (TGT.N) later this week, with investors focusing on discretionary spending trends as customers battle sticky inflation and higher borrowing costs.
Home Depot’s quarterly customer transactions drop of 1.8% improved from the prior quarter, driven by higher sales of items including plants and landscaping supplies, and steady demand from Pro-customers for products like fasteners and insulation.
Meanwhile, the company maintained its annual forecasts after cutting them in May.
“While there’s a lot of positives in the macro and with the consumer, we still see enough uncertainty, largely driven by (consumer spending shifting from goods to services)… (to not) revise our guidance,” CEO Ted Decker said on a post-earnings call.
Quarterly comparable sales fell 2% in the second quarter, smaller than expectations for a 3.54% drop, according to Refinitiv IBES data. The company’s per-share profit of $4.65 also topped estimates of $4.45.
Big-ticket transactions, or those over $1,000, remained under pressure, declining 5.5%. Demand for one-time purchases like patio furniture and large appliances was soft, said Billy Bastek, executive vice president of merchandising.
Some green shoots are emerging in the housing market. New home sales jumped 12.2% in May to the highest level in nearly 1-1/2 years, while new home construction surged by the most in over three decades.
“Whether the bottoming in the housing market would translate to sales or not – that’s where there is caution from investors,” Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joe Feldman said.
Reporting by Deborah Sophia in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
A crippling $41 million loss for investors in a property syndicate-style scheme has prompted a shareholder advocate to sue a company and directors who sold shares to fund the failed West Auckland homeware
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NEW DELHI, July 7 (Reuters) – India’s Reliance Retail, run by Asia’s richest man Mukesh Ambani, has been valued at $92-96 billion by two global consultants, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters, in a move that could signal plans for an eventual IPO.
Reliance had appointed independent valuers EY, which valued the company at $96.14 billion, and BDO, which priced it at around $92 billion, the source said, declining to be named as the details are confidential.
Reliance, EY and BDO did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Reliance Retail includes Ambani’s core retail businesses, including digital and brick-and-mortar stores. It is fully owned by Reliance Retail Ventures, which also houses other retail operations such as international partnerships and the billionaire’s consumer goods business.
The valuations show consultants estimate Ambani’s businesses are growing fast. In 2020, Reliance Retail Ventures raised 472.65 billion Indian rupees ($5.72 billion) by selling a 10.09% stake, valuing it at roughly $57 billion based on current exchange rates.
Investors at the time included KKR, the Saudi Public Investment Fund, General Atlantic and the UAE’s Mubadala.
News of the valuation comes ahead of a possible initial public offering (IPO) of Reliance’s retail division. Ambani has said he plans to list his retail operations at some point, but has so far not given a timeline or details of his plans.
EY valued Reliance Retail at 884.03 rupees per share, while BDO valued it at 849.08 rupees, the source said.
Reliance Retail has in recent years partnered with a slew of global brands to launch and expand their presence in India. From fashion to food, its partner brands include Burberry, Pret A Manger and Tiffany.
Reporting by Aditya Kalra in New Delhi, M. Sriram and Dhwani Pandya in Mumbai and Chris Thomas in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D’Souza, Louise Heavens and Mark Potter
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
LONDON, June 29 (Reuters) – Markets are on the alert to which sectors will buckle under the sharpest jump in interest rates in decades, with big rate moves this month in Britain and Norway a reminder that the tightening is not over.
Central banks may need longer to lower inflation and a fresh bout of financial turbulence could make the process even more protracted, the International Monetary Fund warns.
Stability has returned since March’s banks turmoil, but warning lights are flashing elsewhere and tensions in Russia provide another possible trigger for stress.
Here is a look at some of the pressure points.
1/ REAL ESTATE: PART 1
Just as hopes for an end to Federal Reserve rate hikes boost the U.S. housing market, European residential property is suffering under rate hikes.
UK rates have jumped to 5% from 0.25% two years ago and 2.4 million homeowners will roll off cheap fixed rate mortgages onto much higher rates by end-2024, banking trade body UK Finance estimates.
Sweden, where rates rose again on Thursday, is one to watch with most homeowners’ mortgages moving in lockstep with rates.
London Business School economics professor Richard Portes said, euro zone housing markets appear to be “freezing up” as transactions and prices fall. “You can expect worse in 2024 when the full effects of rate hikes come forth,” he said.
2/ REAL ESTATE: PART 2
Having taken advantage of the low rates era to borrow aplenty and buy up property assets, the commercial real estate sector is grappling with higher debt refinancing costs as rates rise.
“The single most important thing is interest rates. But not just interest rates; what it is equally important is the predictability of rates,” said Thomas Mundy, EMEA head of capital markets strategy at real estate firm JLL.
“If we were settled on an interest rate, real estate prices could adjust. But at the moment, the lag in the adjustment to real estate pricing is creating an uncertain environment.”
In Sweden, high debts, rising rates and a wilting economy has produced a toxic cocktail for commercial property.
And HSBC‘s decision to leave London’s Canary Wharf for a smaller office in the City highlights an office downsizing trend rocking commercial real estate markets.
3/ BANK ASSETS
Banks remain in focus as credit conditions tighten.
“There is no place to hide from these tighter financial conditions. Banks feel the pressure of every central bank,” said Lombard Odier Investment Managers’ head of macro Florian Ielpo.
Banks hold two types of balance sheet assets: those meant for liquidity and those that work like savings meant to earn additional value. Rising rates have pushed many of these assets 10%-15% lower than their purchase price, Ielpo said. Should banks need to sell them, unrealised losses would emerge.
Most at risk are banks’ real estate assets. Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell says the Fed is monitoring banks “very carefully” to address potential vulnerabilities.
Lending standards for the average household are also a concern. Ielpo expects consumers will stop paying loan payments in the third and fourth quarters.
“This will be the Achilles heel of the banking sector,” he added.
4/ DEFAULT
Rising rates are taking a toll on corporates as the cost of their debt balloons.
S&P expects default rates for European sub-investment grade companies to rise to 3.6% in March 2024 from 2.8% this March.
Markus Allenspach, head of fixed income research at Julius Baer, notes there were as many defaults globally in the first five months of 2023 as there were during 2022.
French retailer Casino is in debt restructuring talks with its creditors. Sweden’s SBB has been fighting for survival since its shares plunged in May on concern over its financial position.
“We are starting to see distress building up in the corporate space, especially at the low end where you have most floating rate debt,” said S&P Global Ratings’ Nick Kraemer.
5/ RUSSIA AFTER WAGER MUTINY
The Wagner mutiny, the gravest threat to Russia’s Vladimir Putin’s rule to date, might have been aborted, but will long reverberate. Any changes to Russia’s standing – or to the momentum behind the war in Ukraine – could be felt near and far.
There’s the immediate fallout for commodity markets from crude oil to grains, the most sensitive to domestic changes in Russia. And knock on effects, from inflation pressures to risk aversion in case of a major escalation, could have far reaching consequences for countries and corporates already feeling the heat from rising rates.
“Putin can no longer claim to be the guarantor of Russian stability and you don’t get that kind of fragmentation and challenges to the system in a stable and popular regime,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.
Reporting by Chiara Elisei, Naomi Rovnick, Nell Mackenzie and Karin Strohecker, Graphics by Vincent Flasseur, Kripa Jayaram, Sumanta Sen and Pasit Kongkunakornkul, Editing by Dhara Ranasinghe and Alison Williams
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
LONDON, May 26(Reuters) – Experienced tech investors are hunting for undervalued opportunities in an over-valued space.
At stake is how best to invest in the potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI), which took a leap forward in November when Microsoft-backed OpenAI released its ChatGPT bot, without buying into a bubble.
Shares in Nvidia (NVDA.O), which makes computer chips that train AI systems, have almost doubled since ChatGPT’s launch. The company’s stock market value at roughly $940 billion is more than double that of Europe’s Nestle (NESN.S). Nvidia surged some 25% on Thursday alone after forecasting a sales jump.
Shares in loss-making AI software company C3.AI, which grabbed the stock ticker , have risen 149% this year and Palantir Technologies (PLTR.N), which has launched its own AI platform, is up 91% year-to-date.
Investors are chasing exposure to generative AI, the technology run by ChatGPT that learns from analysing vast datasets to generate text, images and computer code. Businesses are trying to use generative AI to speed up video editing, recruitment and even legal work.
Consultancy PwC sees AI-related productivity savings and investments generating $15.7 trillion worth of global economic output by 2030, almost equivalent to the gross domestic product of China.
The question for investors is whether to jump on the AI train now, or exercise caution, especially given mounting concern amongst regulators about the technology’s potentially disruptive impact.
“There are clearly going to be winners in all this,” said Niall O’Sullivan, chief investment officer of multi-asset for EMEA, at Neuberger Berman. “It’s just that that’s very hard to be true for the entire market.”
STILL EARLY
Instead of backing hot start-ups or rushing into highly valued AI-themed businesses that might fail, seasoned investors are taking a lateral view to back already proven technology companies that might benefit from the longer-term trend.
“It’s going to be as transformative as the internet, as the mobile internet, as the mainframe computer was,” said Alison Porter, a tech fund manager at Janus Henderson, whose funds have positions in Nvidia, with Microsoft as their largest holding.
However, Porter also cautions that “we are still very early on the use cases for AI.”
She favours big tech groups like Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Alphabet (GOOGL.O) because they have “strong balance sheets”, that make them “able to invest in many different technology advances”, including their recent focus on AI.
BEWARE, THE HYPE
Dizzying valuations have made some investors wary of the technology hype cycle. This concept, popularised by consultancy Gartner, starts with a trigger, such as the launch of ChatGPT, followed by inflated expectations and then disillusionment. Even if a technology moves to mass adoption, many early stage innovators can fail along the way.
“There’s a question about where we are in that curve with AI, where the hype is so visible,” said Mark Hawtin, investment director at GAM Investments. “There are ways to get exposure to the (AI) theme without picking something that is highly valued.”
PICKS, SHOVELS
Janus’ Porter recommended backing proven companies that may be “big beneficiaries in terms of providing infrastructure,” for future trends in generative AI that, as of now, are unclear.
GAM’s Hawtin said he has also hunted out companies that provide the “picks and shovels,” necessary for enabling new AI technology.
For example, AI systems require huge volumes of data to analyse and learn from, but just 1% of global data is currently being captured, stored and used, according to Bank of America.
Hawtin’s funds hold Seagate Technology (STX.O), which makes hard drives and data storage products, and chipmaker Marvell Technology for this reason, he said.
Jon Guinness, tech portfolio manager at Fidelity International, said management consultancy Accenture is in his portfolio because as businesses consider how to use AI, “I strongly think you call in the experts.”
STICKING TO BIG TECH
Trevor Greetham, head of multi-asset at Royal London Investment Management, said he was “overweight” in dominant tech stocks in part because AI supported their valuations, but he cautioned against AI-themed stocks.
“There will be an awful lot of losing lottery tickets,” he said, recalling the dotcom crash of the early 2000s.
Also sticking with big tech, Fidelity’s Guinness said his funds hold Amazon, partly because of its efforts to make AI less expensive for businesses. Amazon’s Bedrock service, for example, lets companies customise generative AI models rather than invest in developing them themselves.
“The big benefits of AI,” Janus’ Porter said, “are going to happen over the long term.”
“Investors want to invest in AI now and they expect things to happen now,” she added. “But we would never blindly buy into AI and we don’t do things at any price.”
Reporting by Naomi Rovnick; Additional reporting by Lucy Raitano. Editing by Dhara Ranasinghe and Sharon Singleton
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Westgate Lifestyle Centre outlined in blue when it was marketed by Colliers. Costco is shown to the lower left. Photo / Colliers
This year’s biggest retail property sale was an $85.7 million deal for a 28-store Auckland centre quit by an NZX-listed business.
The $3b landlord, Kiwi Property Group, sold the Westgate Lifestyle Centre at NZ Retail
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BENGALURU/SINGAPORE, May 6 (Reuters) – Singapore state investor Temasek Holdings (TEM.UL) is considering investing $100 million in Indian jeweller BlueStone for a stake of about 20%, two sources with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
The investment would value Bengaluru-based BlueStone, also backed by venture capital firm Accel and Indian industrialist Ratan Tata, at close to $500 million, said one of the sources, who declined to be identified as the matter is private.
The potential deal could boost BlueStone’s plans to expand aggressively in India, the second-largest jewellery consuming nation behind China, as demand surges after the pandemic.
The jeweller has previously disclosed plans to open 300 stores by 2024. It has over 150 stores now, according to its website.
BlueStone operates in a market that is dominated by thousands of small and large local independent jewellery stores, but also branded outlets like Titan Company-owned (TITN.NS) Tanishq and CaratLane, and Kalyan Jewellers (KALN.NS).
Unlike many traditional jewellers, companies like BlueStone and CaratLane also offer online sales.
While Temasek’s interest in investing in Bluestone has been previously reported, Reuters is first to report details of an investment amount, the potential valuation and other financial details of the potential deal.
Temasek is doing due diligence on the transaction and a deal could be struck as early as July-September if talks are successful, said one of the sources.
BlueStone CEO Gaurav Kushwaha did not immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment, while Temasek declined to comment.
Temasek has been investing $1 billion annually in India over past six years and its underlying exposure to India is $16 billion, which is over 5% of Temasek’s global $297 billion portfolio, its India head Ravi Lambah told the Economic Times last month.
The deal talks also come at a time when many Indian startups have been struggling to raise fresh funds, forcing them to delay IPOs and sack employees as investors question their sky-high valuations. Startups raised just $2 billion in the first quarter of 2023, 75% lower than the same period of last year, according to data firm CB Insights.
Reporting by Chris Thomas in Bengaluru and Yantoultra Ngui in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.